World Bank Forecasts 3.9% Growth for Malaysia in 2025

KUALA LUMPUR: The World Bank has revised Malaysia’s GDP growth forecast to 3.9% for 2025, citing global uncertainties and trade tensions, particularly following the recent US tariff announcements.

“With all possible caveats, we project Malaysia’s 2025 growth rate at 3.9%,” said Apurva Sanghi, the World Bank’s lead economist for Malaysia, in a post on X.

The projection comes in lower than Bank Negara Malaysia’s current forecast of 4.5% to 5.5%, which is now under review amid mounting external pressures. It also follows a recent downgrade by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which revised Malaysia’s 2025 growth to 4.1%, down from an earlier estimate of 4.7%.

Regional Growth Comparisons

The World Bank’s latest projections show Vietnam leading among ASEAN economies in 2025 with 5.8% growth, followed by:

  • Philippines – 5.3%

  • Indonesia – 4.7%

  • Cambodia – 4.0%

  • Malaysia – 3.9%

  • Thailand – 1.65%

China’s growth is projected at 4.0%, reflecting broader economic moderation across Asia.

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