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The impact of US tariffs on the cocoa market

SINGAPORE: As of April, Hedgepoint Global Markets will be monitoring and developing regular market analyses on the global cocoa market, expanding its portfolio of sectoral analyses focused on risks, trends and economic impacts on the commodity chain.   This move comes at a time of high volatility in the sector. Last week, US President Donald Trump’s announcement of new trade tariffs provoked immediate reactions on global markets.  After recording a four-week high, the cocoa market began to feel the effects of the recent trade measures announced by the United States. Global cocoa prices began to retreat amid increased volatility, contributing to a scenario of uncertainty that had already been developing in recent months.  Last Tuesday, cocoa futures contracts maturing in May 2025 fell by 3.8% in London and 3.7% in New York, signaling a correction in the market after the significant rise. If the tariffs are maintained, changes in trade flows and processing routes are expected, with North American buyers looking for cheaper alternatives.  As a result, the market is already projecting a possible reduction in cocoa grinding in the United States, which could put pressure on the commodity’s domestic prices in the coming months. The movement also reinforces fears of a global recession, as the effects of trade barriers spread through various production chains.    If the announced tariffs are maintained, it is likely that there will be adjustments to the flow of trade and cocoa processing routes in the coming months, as US buyers look for more economical alternatives for their operations.   Among the possibilities evaluated by the market are redirecting beans to countries close to the United States that have lower tariffs and installed grinding capacity – such as Canada, Mexico, Brazil and Ghana. In this way, it would be possible to meet US demand for cocoa beans, butter, liquor and powder from processing in other origins.          Given this scenario, a reduction in cocoa grinding in the United States is expected and, consequently, a possible rise in domestic prices in the coming months – not only for cocoa, but also for other products in the confectionery chain. This intensifies fears of a recession in the US economy and reinforces the prospect of a drop in demand for the commodity, a topic that has been discussed since the beginning of 2024, when prices for the bean reached historically high levels.  The so-called “Liberation Day” adds another element of pressure on a market that has already been operating under strong volatility in recent years. The recent drop in prices came just after the market recorded its highest rise in four weeks, supported by the forecast reduction in the Ivory Coast’s intermediate crop (April to September 2025) and the negative revision of the expected production for the 2024/25 crop in Ghana – the two main global producers.   Even so, this information was already priced in, and the market continues to point to a downward trend in the medium term, driven by expectations of a slowdown in demand, normalization of cocoa arrivals at ports and improved weather conditions in West Africa, with an increase in rainfall in recent weeks. 

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US Tariff Suspension Could Lift Malaysia’s GDP

KUALA LUMPUR: The temporary suspension of tariffs by the Trump administration may provide a modest but meaningful boost to Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP), potentially lifting growth by between 0.2 and 0.8 percentage point (pp), according to CIMB Securities. The economic impact will depend on the duration of the pause and the outcome of the upcoming US-Malaysia trade talks scheduled for late April. Under a base case scenario where the United States maintains a reduced 10 per cent tariff for a 90-day period—from April 9 to July 8—before reinstating the original 24 per cent rate, Malaysia’s GDP could see an uplift of around 0.2 pp. “If the 10 per cent tariff is extended through the end of 2025, the upside could increase to 0.6 pp. In the most optimistic scenario—where tariffs are fully removed after July—the GDP growth boost could reach 0.8 pp, potentially lifting full-year growth to 4.8 per cent,” the firm noted. However, CIMB Securities added that this still falls short of its earlier forecast of 5.0 per cent for 2025, citing persistent trade uncertainties amid renewed global tensions. The bilateral US-Malaysia negotiations later this month are expected to play a critical role in shaping the economic outlook. The talks may address ongoing disputes regarding Malaysia’s existing tariffs on selected US imports, including agricultural products, alcohol, and motor vehicles. Broader issues such as Malaysia’s approved permit system, halal import regulations, and foreign ownership restrictions may also be discussed. In turn, Malaysia may consider increasing imports of US goods—particularly defence systems, aircraft, and capital equipment—as part of a broader effort to narrow the trade imbalance. CIMB Securities stated that if the talks yield positive outcomes, they could enhance strategic bilateral ties and support trade growth in the second half of the year. “Despite the potential upside, we are maintaining our 2025 GDP forecast at 4.0 per cent for now, given the unpredictable nature of the Trump administration’s trade policies and uncertainties surrounding the negotiations. A breakdown in talks could reignite trade tensions, dampen investor sentiment, and curb global trade flows,” the firm warned.–BUSINESS TIMES

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Indonesia Detains Top Judge in Bribery Probe Linked to Palm Oil Corruption Case Linked to Palm Oil Corruption Case

Indonesia has detained the chief judge of the South Jakarta District Court along with three others in connection with an alleged bribery scheme related to a high-profile 2022 palm oil export corruption case that involved a unit of Singapore-listed Wilmar International Ltd. In a statement on Saturday (April 12), the Attorney General’s Office (AGO) identified the judge by the initials MAN, along with a court employee (WG) and two lawyers (MS and AR), as suspects in the case. Prosecutors allege the lawyers paid the judge 60 billion rupiah (approximately US$3.57 million or RM15.79 million) in bribes to influence the outcome of the trial. The bribery was allegedly intended to secure a favourable ruling in a March 2025 verdict, where a panel of judges determined that Wilmar Group, Musim Mas Group, and Permata Hijau Group had not committed any criminal offence in the palm oil export scandal. AGO spokesperson Harli Siregar confirmed that the suspects would be detained for the next 20 days pending further investigation. As part of the probe, prosecutors raided five locations in Jakarta on Friday and seized large sums of cash in multiple currencies—including Chinese yuan, Singapore dollars, US dollars, Indonesian rupiah, and Malaysian ringgit. Authorities also confiscated luxury vehicles, including a Mercedes-Benz and a Ferrari, as part of the evidence haul. The original 2022 corruption case implicated officials from Indonesia’s trade ministry and centred around the issuance of export permits that did not meet regulatory requirements. The scandal was compounded by failures in meeting domestic palm oil distribution obligations, contributing to a surge in cooking oil prices and public outcry. The latest development signals a renewed commitment by Indonesian authorities to crack down on judicial corruption and ensure accountability in one of the country’s most lucrative industries.–BLOOMBERG

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Malaysia at Risk from US-China Trade Tensions, Warns Anwar

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim has warned that escalating trade tensions between the United States and China could disrupt Malaysia’s export-driven economy and strain its critical trade and investment relationship with Beijing. Speaking at the Kelantan state-level Aidilfitri Madani 2025 celebration at Pantai Irama on Friday, Anwar said the US move to impose steep retaliatory tariffs on several countries—including a now-suspended 24% levy on Malaysian imports—signals broader volatility that may destabilise Asia’s trade ecosystem. “This situation not only affects China’s economy, but also has repercussions for Malaysia,” Anwar said. “When high tariffs are imposed on China, our trade and investment ties with the country are inevitably affected.” He acknowledged that while Malaysia has temporarily been exempted from the latest US tariff wave, the larger implications of the trade war—particularly on China, Malaysia’s largest trading partner—cannot be ignored. “As a trading and exporting nation, we are highly vulnerable to global trade disruptions. If China’s export and investment outlook weakens, the ripple effects will reach our shores too,” he added. US President Donald Trump recently announced a 90-day suspension of higher tariffs on selected countries, including several ASEAN nations such as Malaysia. However, China remains a primary target, with a sweeping 125% tariff still in place. Previously, Malaysia was hit with a 24% reciprocal tariff, which has now been put on hold. Still, a 10% baseline global tariff continues to apply to all nations, except for China, which faces steeper penalties. Anwar emphasised that Malaysia must remain vigilant in navigating the shifting trade landscape, especially as it seeks to balance strong diplomatic ties with both superpowers. “The suspension is welcome, but the underlying threat remains. We must prepare for long-term volatility,” he said. As the US-China tariff standoff intensifies, analysts expect further fragmentation in global supply chains—posing new challenges for Southeast Asian economies that sit at the crossroads of major trade routes.

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Asean to Act as One on US Tariffs — PM Anwar

BUTTERWORTH: Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim has reaffirmed Malaysia’s commitment to working with regional and global partners in response to the United States’ newly announced retaliatory import tariffs. Speaking at the Aidilfitri Madani 2025 celebration in Penang, Anwar said Malaysia would leverage its strong diplomatic and economic relationships with the US, Europe, China, and Asean to find a solution. He noted that Asean member states have agreed to take a collective approach to addressing the issue. “This is important because we are not acting solely as Malaysia, but as a united Asean bloc,” he said. “We hope that through discussions and negotiations, both on behalf of Malaysia and Asean, we can resolve the tariff issue as effectively as possible.” The event was held at the Picca Convention Centre @ Arena Butterworth and also attended by Penang Chief Minister Chow Kon Yeow, Education Minister Fadhlina Sidek, Human Resources Minister Steven Sim Chee Keong, and other state leaders. As Asean 2025 chair, Anwar stressed that the region would not merely complain or concede. Instead, it would mobilise efforts to navigate this challenge and emerge stronger. “The test of any crisis is whether we complain, give in, or mobilise our efforts to find a new path. According to Joseph Schumpeter’s theory, a desperate situation finds a way to rise again,” he remarked. Highlighting Malaysia’s export profile, Anwar pointed out that the country, particularly Penang, is a critical global player in semiconductor exports — with total exports reaching RM200 billion, 65% of which were shipped to the US. He called for internal reforms to improve Malaysia’s competitiveness, including eliminating inefficiencies, delays, and corruption, and promoting higher productivity. “We must eliminate bad practices, laziness, delays in approvals, and corruption,” he said. “A stable economy, clear policies, and a diligent populace are essential to our progress.” On April 2, US President Donald Trump announced a basic 10% import tariff across all countries, with higher duties of 24% on several nations, including Malaysia. However, on April 10, the US announced a 90-day pause on the higher tariff rates to allow room for negotiations. Penang-based companies contributed RM76 billion — or 17% — of Malaysia’s total RM161 billion in exports to the US in 2023, with the electrical and electronics sector being the primary driver.

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Penang Diversifying Exports to Offset Impact of US Tariffs

BUTTERWORTH: Penang is actively working to diversify and expand its export markets in response to the challenges posed by the US’s new retaliatory import tariffs. This strategic move aims to protect the sustainability of both the state’s economy and its broader contribution to Malaysia’s economic stability. Penang’s Chief Minister, Chow Kon Yeow, emphasised the importance of these efforts amid global economic uncertainty, with particular concern over the recent tariffs imposed by the US. These tariffs have already started to affect Penang’s export trade, which has been significantly tied to the US market. “During times like these, we must take more aggressive steps to empower local enterprises and ensure a resilient and sustainable supply chain,” said Chow during his speech at the Penang Aidilfitri Madani 2025 Celebration Ceremony held at the Picca Convention Centre in Arena Butterworth on Saturday. The event was attended by various key figures, including Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim. Chow highlighted that the US was Penang’s second-largest export destination in 2023, with a trade value of RM76 billion, or 17% of the state’s total exports. Despite these challenges, Penang continues to enjoy a trade surplus with the US, which stood at RM57.7 billion last year. “Although Penang was the nation’s top export contributor in February 2025, with a total export value of RM9.3 billion, the newly imposed tariffs are expected to have a significant impact,” Chow said. To address this, Penang has established the Penang Tariff Monitoring Task Force. This task force will act as a central platform to coordinate trade responses and engage with sectors impacted by the tariffs. Chow reiterated his commitment to fulfilling his role as Chief Minister by taking proactive and relevant measures to align with the state’s current needs, ensuring the continued development of Penang’s economy and social progress.–BERNAMA

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Cahya Mata Sarawak Plans Expansion with Second Clinker Line

KUCHING: Cahya Mata Cement Sdn Bhd, a key subsidiary of Cahya Mata Sarawak Bhd (KL:CMSB), is pushing forward with plans to significantly boost its cement production capabilities in Sarawak. The company has announced its intention to construct Clinker Line 2 in Mambong, pending approval from the Sarawak government. According to CMSB group general counsel Izzam Ibrahim, the project aims to solidify the company’s position as the largest clinker producer in Borneo. “We are in the process of securing regulatory approvals and are closely collaborating with the state government to greenlight the construction commencement,” Ibrahim stated during a press conference held at the CMSB Raya Open House. Clinker Line 2 is slated for completion by March 2027 and is expected to double Cahya Mata Cement’s annual production capacity from 900,000 to 1.92 million tonnes. This expansion is set to cater to Sarawak’s burgeoning infrastructure demands over the next 15 years. The development project will be executed in partnership with Sinoma Industry Engineering (M) Sdn Bhd, following a technical consulting agreement inked in November 2023. The collaboration encompasses the design, construction, and optimization of the clinker line, alongside enhancements to the existing production facility. Key features of the new facility include a waste heat recovery system capable of generating six megawatts of power, advanced dust filtration systems to slash emissions by 50%, and energy-efficient equipment designed to minimize carbon footprint. In parallel with its growth ambitions, CMSB remains resilient amidst ongoing legal proceedings. Ibrahim affirmed that despite these challenges, the company has continued to achieve notable improvements in operational efficiency. “Our management’s steadfast commitment ensures business continuity and sustains stakeholder confidence,” Ibrahim asserted. Furthermore, CMSB is enhancing its commitment to sustainability by embarking on comprehensive Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) reporting, aligning with Bursa Malaysia’s mandatory guidelines. “This marks a significant step in our sustainability journey, underlining our dedication to responsible corporate practices,” Ibrahim added. Despite recent legal turbulence, including actions initiated by CMSB’s deputy chairman and director Datuk Seri Mahmud Abu Bekir Taib, Ibrahim emphasized the company’s focus on moving forward responsibly. “We are dedicated to accurate and transparent reporting, reflecting our unwavering commitment amidst external distractions,” he concluded.–BERNAMA

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Malaysia, Brazil & AWS Unite to Revolutionise Chip Design

KUALA LUMPUR:  The Malaysia Semiconductor IC Design Park has inked strategic partnerships with Brazilian semiconductor design firm Chipinventor and Amazon Web Services (AWS), marking a new chapter in international collaboration within the semiconductor industry. The partnership, supported by the Brazilian Embassy in Malaysia and Brazil’s Ministry of Science, Technology, and Innovation under the Innovation Diplomacy Programme, aims to strengthen ties between Malaysia and Brazil in the fields of integrated circuit (IC) design and manufacturing. The initiative is set to drive joint investments, facilitate technology transfers, and further position Malaysia as a regional hub for semiconductor innovation. Chipinventor Expands into Asia via Selangor Chipinventor—a spin-off from Brazil’s renowned Wernher von Braun Center for Advanced Research—has chosen the Malaysia Semiconductor IC Design Park in Selangor as its base for Asian expansion. “This decision reflects the confidence global players have in Malaysia’s infrastructure, skilled talent pool, and strategic ASEAN location,” said Selangor Investment, Trade and Mobility Committee chairman, Ng Sze Han, during the Brazil x Malaysia Bilateral Semiconductor Industry Development Programme. He highlighted that Chipinventor’s cloud-based semiconductor design platform, powered by artificial intelligence and hosted on AWS Malaysia’s infrastructure, enables even non-engineers to design chips through an intuitive no-code interface. Local Startups Prove Capability Malaysian tech startup Alphaswift Industries, winner of the 7th Selangor Accelerator Programme (SAP) by the Selangor Information Technology and Digital Economy Corporation (Sidec), successfully designed and prototyped a silicon chip using Chipinventor’s platform. The chip is now ready for fabrication at Silterra, Malaysia’s leading semiconductor foundry—underscoring the potential of homegrown innovation. Developing a Semiconductor-Ready Workforce To cultivate local talent, the Advanced Semiconductor Academy of Malaysia (ASEM) is collaborating with Chipinventor to deliver industry-relevant training. Programmes like the National Semiconductor Excellence Programme (NSEP) and Global Semiconductor Exchange Programme (GSEP) will provide Malaysian students and professionals with hands-on skills in chip design, testing, and verification. The Malaysia Semiconductor IC Design Park said this partnership will not only enhance Malaysia’s digital ecosystem but also promote the adoption of cloud-based chip design platforms globally.

Energy & Technology

MYEG and Beitou IT Innovation to Establish China-ASEAN AI Flagship Lab

KUALA LUMPUR: MY E.G. Services Bhd (MYEG) has entered into a strategic agreement with Guangxi-based Beitou IT Innovation Technology Investment Group Co Ltd to establish the Malaysia-China Artificial Intelligence (AI) Innovation and Cooperation Centre, designated as the Flagship China-ASEAN AI Lab. This collaboration coincides with a Government-to-Government Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between Malaysia and China to enhance AI development, marking a significant step forward in cross-border tech cooperation. According to MYEG’s statement, the new lab—housed in Zetrix Tower, Petaling Jaya—will serve as a central hub for AI research and innovation between China and ASEAN nations. The initiative is led by MYEG and supported by key Chinese and Malaysian technology leaders, including: Deepseek and Tabatics Drone companies DJI and Leju Robot Huawei Technologies Malaysian IT services provider Heitech Padu Bhd The lab will focus on integrating blockchain, generative AI, and robotics, with a special emphasis on culturally localised applications and services. “This initiative is in line with the vision of both governments to deepen collaboration in the digital economy,” said MYEG. The first service to be launched under this initiative is the mutual recognition of national digital IDs. Beginning with China’s Guangxi Province, Malaysian citizens will be able to use their MyDigital ID for identity verification, particularly for financial services and access to tourist attractions in the region. Likewise, Chinese nationals will enjoy similar digital identity support in Malaysia. The signing ceremony was witnessed by Lan Tianli, Governor of the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, and Malaysia’s Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry, Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz. This partnership reflects an accelerating trend in AI-driven regional integration, with Malaysia positioning itself as a digital bridge between ASEAN and China.

News, Property

Paramount’s Unit and Two Others Face Lawsuit Over Taman U-Thant Land Deal

KUALA LUMPUR: Paramount Corporation Bhd’s 70%-owned subsidiary, Tanah Bayumas Sdn Bhd (TBSB), along with representatives of Adamprimus & Co, who are the appointed receivers and managers of Prismaworld Embassyview Sdn Bhd, and RHB Bank Bhd, are being sued over TBSB’s RM145 million acquisition of a prime parcel of land in Taman U-Thant, Kuala Lumpur. The lawsuit, filed on 7 March in the commercial division of the Kuala Lumpur High Court by Prismaworld Embassyview Sdn Bhd — the current landowner under receivership — seeks to void the sale and purchase agreement (SPA). Alternatively, Prismaworld is claiming RM313 million in damages against all three parties. Named in the suit are: TBSB as the first defendant Datuk Adam Primus Varghese Abdullah and Macpherson Simon of Adamprimus & Co as second defendants RHB Bank, the charge holder of the property, as the third defendant It is important to note that Adamprimus & Co is not a law firm nor a representative of Paramount or TBSB in any capacity. Rather, the firm — a licensed professional practice in insolvency and restructuring — was appointed as receiver and manager of Prismaworld Embassyview Sdn Bhd. Prismaworld alleges the SPA, signed on 12 December 2024 between TBSB and Adamprimus & Co, is invalid. The plaintiff is also accusing RHB Bank of breaching its duties as a legal charge holder and is seeking to bar all three defendants from any further dealings with the land until the matter is resolved in court. Should the court void the sale, Prismaworld has expressed its intent to sell the land to Al Shamal LLC-FZ. The injunction application is scheduled to be heard by the High Court on 20 May. In a statement, Paramount clarified that the lawsuit is not expected to have a material impact on the group’s financials. The SPA includes provisions allowing TBSB to terminate the transaction and seek a refund in the event of legal complications. TBSB has appointed legal counsel and stated its confidence in defending against the injunction. The land in Taman U-Thant is considered a key strategic asset, situated only 700 metres from Paramount’s existing luxury developments, The Atrium and The Ashwood. The site was projected to yield a gross development value (GDV) of at least RM300 million over five years. Paramount’s shares ended trading on Friday up two sen, or 2.11%, at 97 sen, giving the group a market capitalisation of RM604.09 million.

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